Reminder: Radical Hospitality The autumn focus on Hospitality - Living God's Welcome continues at 7:00 p.m. Monday night in Jubilee Hall when Lonni Collins Pratt leads a conversation on the joys and challenges of hospitality. She is co-author of Radical Hospitality. Join us as we explore together the Christianity dimensions of hospitality - the focus of our study and prayer this autumn.
Birthdays to remember: Click for Addresses 09/27 Clark Evelyn, 10/04 Owen Connie, 10/05 Baxter Gerald, 10/10 Lee Tonsie , 10/11 Soule Wes, 10/17 Soule Ginny , 10/18 Stinson Tom, 10/21 Lumadue Anne, 10/22 Hackney Helen, 10/23 Vass Mary Katherine, 10/23 Buker Ken, 11/03 Gourley Virginia Please share birthday greetings with Ownbey friends, don't you like to get such greetings? Upcoming lessons: Oct 21st - bk: SIMPLY JESUS, pt 3 (final days and beyond) - by N.T.Wright - led by Ace Oct 28th - bk/dvd: ON THE ROAD WITH JESUS - TEACHING AND HEALING, ch 3/4 - by Ben Witherington - led by Lou Nov 4th - bk: THE MEANING OF LIFE (more) - by various authors - led by Durward Nov 11th - bk: WHAT THE BIBLE REALLY TELLS US - by T.J.Wray - led by Jim . Curriculum Committee Meeting 10/23)
Class: October 21, 2012 .
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In the absence of Jim and Nancy, Ann led the class in prayer and reading from Jesus Calling ("To live in God's presence, you must expose and expel rebellious tendencies.."). She recognized Connie and Durward who recently celebrated their 60th Wedding Anniversary. Christine Mull asked us to update the Roster and a copy was circulated for any changes. Reatha will followup up so let her know of any changes. (To see copy of roster from the church office, click here. Usual password, ask Don if forget). Reatha discussed the 10/28 BBQ and mentioned her recent email (see below) asking for cards, pictures, etc to help celebrate the 90th birthdays of Ken and William. She received an email from Lois Wilson in Virginia who said she enjoyed getting emails about the class. Joyce had surgery recently in Wilmington and Reatha will share her address with us soon.
Reatha sent following email 10/20/2012:
Dear Ownbey Family, Altho' some of our number will be attending the Music Ministry Luncheon upstairs in Jubilee Hall on Oct 28th, the rest of us will be celebrating in our classroom at our annual BBQ :-) If you want to come and have not yet contacted Durward, please do so NOW! 704.552.1169 Remember that the cost is $7/plate. [BTW: somehow we are $14 short, per the list being passed around in class -- app. 2 people marked PAID, got busy, and forgot to put money in the envelope...] Also we will be celebrating TWO b'day milestones: Bill W turned 90 last month and Ken B's 90th b'day is coming up this week (Tue Oct 23d). Both Linda and Anne are asking us to write down special remembrances we recall w/each man or special well wishes, and SEND THEM TO ME, please. I will collect them this next week and present them to Bill and Ken at our lunch. You can write them down and give them to me tomorrow in class... or mail them to me... or send me emails. ...Bill's Linda's schedule that weekend will be rather "tight" -- she'll be returning from a reunion, but plans on leaving there early enough Sunday morning to get to S Place and get Bill ready to come to lunch :-) And the Bukers will be returning to town tomorrow after a week at the beach :-) Tomorrow's lesson will be led by Ace -- the final "chapter" of N.T.Wright's book, SIMPLY JESUS. Hope to see you then. Peace, Reatha - Sat - 9am 704......
Lesson October 21, 2012 (previous 20120826) book: SIMPLY JESUS, pt 2 (ministry) - by N.T.Wright - led by Ace. Click links) Blog Smugmug pictures and Video Youtube Full Class Video Audio Messiah Audio as test
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- A comment from Amazon: N.T. Wright's latest book, "Simply Jesus," claims to be a new vision of who Jesus is and what He did. Ultimately, the book is what it claims. It's a sometimes brilliant and inspiring re-presentation of who Jesus is and what He came to do. But unfortunately, Wright doesn't make this clear until the end of Chapter 11. A good summary of Wright's major theme is this sentence from Chapter 11: "The gospels are not about `how Jesus turned out to be God.' They are about how God became king on earth as in heaven." Put another way: the Good News of Jesus Christ has to do with much more than people simply escaping earth for heaven.
- Wright develops this theme throughout and does, indeed, offer a fresh and invigorating vision of Jesus Christ. But the book is marred by the fact that Wright's best and most important ideas aren't clear until so late in the book that they would be easy to miss. In fact, I would highly recommend reading Chapters 11, 13, 14, and 15 first so that the rest of the book may be more profitable! Because of the wonderful, challenging insights in the final few chapters, I give the book 4 stars, despite a very slow and not particularly refreshing beginning.
- Chapter 1 is very slow going and doesn't do much to present Jesus in a new light or help us to see Him any better. In Chapter 2,
Class: October 14, 2012 .
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Jim and Don H were at Wesley Class talking about our BBQ on 10/28.Reatha reported that Ken Buker's 90th birthday is soon. (Former Ownbey member) Bob Johnson is 90 this month and we were invited to Tennessee to the party. Betty Campbell is coming to the BBQ (10/28 noon Sunday) and Reatha will give a ride. Durward said his family is visiting to celebrate his Wedding Anniversary # 60. Lou and Harriette lead us in singing. Jim reported on his visit to the Wesley class and was envious of their speakers podium. A program 22/5/12 Time for Change, Service of Prayer and Self Denial with luncheon are offered by the local United Methodist Women. Harriette and Lou led us in our hymns. Jim lead a prayer and reading from Odds and Ends ("God's keeps the key to our problems"). Chick reported Nominations for next year pretty much under control except for Secretary and the Health and Happiness Chair, and he asked us to let him know if will serve. We will need to plan how to deal with the shrinking in our membership Don H told of his retreat to the Lake Junaluska with Adults Plus led by Mark Edwards on Luke. While there, he visited with (former Ownbey members) Joe Hamrick and wife who live and active in the Mountain area. Thanks to Jack for getting the 7 pictures of the original Sanctuary drawings framed and hung in area behind Sanctuary, paid for by Ownbey treasury and members (approved 8/12/2012). Curriculum meeting is 10/23 at 7 pm; all welcome. Clipboard Announcements include Bake Sale 11/10/12 (bring your goodies), visit by the BBQ man to Single Pointe soon, Flu Shots 10/8 10/19, Medicare Counseling by Nick Beard and Bill Spier of the Wesley Class (10/16 10/18 10/23 10/25 11/13 11/15/11/29 12/4 704 376 8584 x4818). Attendance again about 22.
Lesson: October 14, 2012 .
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This review is from Amazon: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't (Hardcover) Look inside
I
think this book is a good introduction for folks who do not have a
background in statistics and probability and would like to read some
anecdotal material about current prediction issues in sports, politics,
gaming, etc. I felt several chapters wandered between generalization and
detailed discussion (Kasparov, climate change).From the whole book I found the stories about baseball forecasting most interesting. Of course this is what Mr. Silver has passion about! Also the discussion about issues with Fisher vs. Bayesian statistics. I don't agree with the author about the negative implications of Fisher statistics. They are still valuable in confined systems (e.g. manufacturing processes).
I did find the use of signal versus noise terminology interesting, but the book never takes a few moments to explain some key ideas by Shannon and Wiener on signal and noise. This could be supplemented with some concrete examples of extracting a signal out of what looks to be a hopelessly noisy environment. I do rate the book very highly for professional thoroughness on footnotes and references. So many books today are written in a casual style that is more likely to cause skepticism. An appendix on summarizing typical human biases in forecasting would also be useful(e.g. recency bias, linearization bias, anchoring bias, extreme consequece bias, and many others).
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